Friday, June 15, 2012

In 2008, Obama's electoral margin was depressed 3-5% because of racism

This came from research by Seth Setphens-Davidowitz, a doctoral candidate in political economics at Harvard. You can Google his name for the details. Looked pretty solid, unbiased research to me.

It doesn't mean that only 3-5% of Americans are racist enough for it to affect their voting. It measures how many people who would have voted for a Democratic candidate if he were white chose not to. I'd guess there are also at least 25% of voters who always vote Republican who wouldn't have voted for a Republican candidate if were black. But they wouldn't have voted for a Democrat of any race, so they don't count here. The figure also takes into account additional voting for Obama because he's black (actually half-black), mostly by blacks.

Discussed on today's Chris Matthews show on MSNBC.

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